It brings incrementality thinking into your campaigns, even without a test.

BIDDING
Predict user churn and allocate ad spend smarter with churn scores integrated into our bidder.

You Can’t Test Everything
Incrementality testing is the most reliable way to measure long-term impact, but it takes time and resources.

Measuring true lift typically requires controlled tests, holdouts, or audience splits.

Running those tests takes time, coordination, and enough scale to get meaningful results.

Most teams can’t test every campaign, audience, or creative, even when they want to.
monthly churn scorecard

Get access to your Churn Scorecard and assess:
How your users interact with your app
When they might stop using it
Revenue impact in the next 30 days
OUR CHURN MODEL
With 85% prediction accuracy based on AUC ROC score

Integrates multiple data sources to analyse your app user behaviour.

Calculates churn probabilities for each user using predictive AI.

Adjusts bid prices dynamically using churn scores for optimal allocation.
why you need a Smarter way
to measure incrementality
SOLVE THE USER CHURN PUZZLE
Predict which users are likely to leave your app for good and keep them.

Enter adjusted ROAS
Adjusted ROAS brings incrementality thinking into your everyday reporting.
It gives you a scalable way to estimate lift without a formal incrementality test.

TRACK ORGANIC RETURN BEHAVIOR
Understand how likely users are to return without being exposed to ads.
Adjusted ROAS uses real-time behavioral data like last app activity and return patterns to model lift without needing a control group.

REFINE REVENUE FOR SMARTER INSIGHTS
Adjust campaign revenue using observed organic return rates.
Apply it at the audience level for a faster read, or go deeper with user-level precision when needed.

REVEAL TRUE CAMPAIGN IMPACT
Adjusted ROAS helps you estimate which conversions were likely driven by your ads, and which weren’t.
It gives you lift-based insight without the time and scale requirements of a full incrementality test.
what you see is what you get
Adjusted ROAS adds clarity without replacing what already works.
It fits into a strategy that includes both attributed ROAS and incrementality testing, giving you a more complete view when you need it.

SPEND MORE EFFICIENTLY
When you can’t test everything, it’s hard to know where to shift budget.
Adjusted ROAS helps identify campaigns that are more likely to drive incremental impact, so you can focus spend where it counts.

MAKE FASTER DECISIONS
Testing requires setup, coordination, and waiting for results.
Adjusted ROAS gives you modeled insights using live behavioral data, so you can evaluate performance quickly and act with more confidence.

EXPAND HOW YOU MEASURE LIFT
Incrementality testing delivers high-quality insights, but only for what you test.
Adjusted ROAS brings that same lift logic to a broader set of campaigns by filtering for likely organic behavior using real return data.

SCALE SMARTER
Incrementality testing gives you truth. Adjusted ROAS helps you act on it more often.
Use it to expand impact-driven measurement beyond one-off experiments so you can scale based on modeled lift, not assumptions.
faqs
Can Adjusted ROAS replace incrementality testing?
Not completely. Incrementality testing is still the most reliable way to measure true causal impact.
However, Adjusted ROAS helps you apply that same mindset across more campaigns without the time and resource requirements of a full test.
Do I need to test all the time?
No, constant testing isn't necessary. Running periodic uplift or incrementality tests is still the best way to validate your strategy and understand true causal impact. Between those tests, Adjusted ROAS gives you a way to apply that thinking more regularly. It doesn't replace experimentation, but it helps you make smarter decisions day to day using modeled insights grounded in real behavior.
What's the difference between incrementality testing and adjusted ROAS?
Incrementality testing measures true causal impact through experiments. This usually means setting up control groups or holdouts to see what happens when ads aren’t shown. It’s the most rigorous way to isolate lift.
Adjusted ROAS, on the other hand, uses behavioral data to estimate impact without running a test. It looks at organic return patterns to help remove conversions that likely would have happened anyway.
The key difference is that testing proves impact through design, while Adjusted ROAS models it through data. Both help you get closer to the truth: one through experiments, the other through ongoing analysis.
How does Adjusted ROAS know which conversions are incremental?
It looks at how users typically behave when they aren’t exposed to ads. For example, it considers when someone last opened the app and how likely they are to return on their own. This helps estimate how much revenue is truly ad-driven.
Does this work for small apps too?
Yes, especially for teams that don’t have the bandwidth to run full incrementality tests. It provides a practical way to estimate lift using real behavioral data, helping you make informed decisions without the overhead of setting up and managing experiments.
Is it suited for all audiences (active & inactive users)?
It’s most relevant for users who are recently active, since they’re more likely to return on their own. For inactive users, where organic return is rare, there’s less need to adjust the data. In those cases, raw performance is often close to the incremental impact.